Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 95.678894 106.414921 117.490384 129.742922 142.890948 156.549932 171.785720
2025-03-09 74.091591 89.344246 105.965278 125.304069 147.066396 170.682236 198.127824
2025-03-16 59.892568 78.047521 98.874996 124.237167 153.984053 187.473211 227.722380
2025-03-23 51.468598 72.008867 96.684963 127.942870 165.901542 209.938020 264.299346
2025-03-30 44.159508 66.184858 93.829704 130.142849 175.634394 229.813732 298.247814
2025-04-06 37.410385 60.071289 89.764122 130.140781 182.207365 245.716467 327.596467
2025-04-13 32.076160 55.072640 86.465619 130.543899 188.890140 261.582941 356.995540
2025-04-20 28.845572 52.560220 86.111500 134.520705 200.010686 283.031850 393.587984
2025-04-27 25.794623 49.876136 85.162869 137.423044 209.587355 302.554192 428.007240
2025-05-04 23.514678 48.055534 85.190961 141.492709 220.656815 324.080602 465.248276
2025-05-11 21.195152 45.851433 84.395361 144.204404 229.796130 343.137085 499.536843
2025-05-18 17.242267 40.334219 78.050682 138.389581 226.729389 345.739432 512.235346
2025-05-25 14.392568 36.378977 73.846795 135.536836 227.776029 354.001162 532.790513
2025-06-01 12.474382 33.860632 71.726174 135.666637 233.023681 368.042578 561.295593
2025-06-08 11.019084 32.016865 70.548093 137.133705 240.190199 384.821283 593.749043
2025-06-15 10.331116 31.652691 71.863715 142.568680 253.335702 410.149975 638.204927
2025-06-22 9.388026 30.583628 71.821525 145.753117 263.137460 430.916620 676.711187
2025-06-29 8.196433 28.738260 70.192458 146.190687 268.706888 445.715556 707.162527
2025-07-06 7.178734 27.103384 68.786591 146.869126 274.581248 460.977182 738.406230
2025-07-13 6.677287 26.663422 69.608850 151.330471 286.397596 484.963159 782.119775
2025-07-20 6.098526 25.911391 69.741612 154.562864 296.313228 506.301356 822.350732
2025-07-27 5.688707 25.540340 70.586446 159.031838 308.238569 530.705206 867.149106
2025-08-03 5.184841 24.800683 70.606756 162.003795 317.799306 551.738536 907.391139